Mobile To Outpace Desktop Web By 2013

I’ve seen a lot of projections on the explosive growth of mobile including one’s like below:

MediaPost Publications Gartner: Mobile To Outpace Desktop Web By 2013 01/14/2010.

My thoughts on this are mixed.  While I think being untethered from the PC is a huge advantage, and while mobile phone distribution due to lower costs and less infrastructure has the potential to spread much wider than that of the Internet connected PC, I still think the mobile web has a long way to go.  For one, the interface and speed (I’m on the AT&T network and iPhone’s are choking bandwidth so perhaps I’m negatively biased on the speed issue) still need a lot of improvements.  Additionally, from a personal level, I will use mobile to do a quick update of a Facebook status, or to send a tweet or to look up a phone number for a restaurant or a map, but I don’t really spend any quality reading time on my mobile device.  The screen is just too small.  I love my Kindle for reading.  I spend hours reading it and enjoy the time I spend… I use my PC for an eight hour plus workday straight, reading much of the time… I just can’t spend the same kind of time reading my mobile device.

What do you think?